Market and Economic Insights
Our timely perspectives on macro events and market trends shaping the global financial markets.
Our Latest Insights
What Gold, Copper, and Treasurys Are Telling Us About Growth and Inflation
Gold and U.S. Treasuries have historically had a negative correlation. Recently, however, yields are rising and gold continues to reach new highs. Macro analyst Richard de Chazal provides a deep examination of these dynamics and offers his views on the reasons, along with potential implications for investors.
Read moreIs This Another Market Bubble?
Are we facing a stock market bubble? In some ways, the acute rise in select stocks could suggest we are. However, as macro analyst Richard de Chazal examines, many of the valuation metrics of companies driving these gains have so far delivered on these expectations, relative the late 1990s, when it was mostly all narrative and no numbers.
Read moreScratching Below the Surface of the Economic Data
While some may be declaring victory in the recession/no-recession debate, there is plenty of evidence to suggest that growth may not be nearly as strong as it seems to be on the surface. Richard de Chazal examines the six data points he believes investors should be cognizant of.
Read moreWhat Today’s Inventory Cycle Is Telling Us About Future Growth
Inventory cycles play an important role in understanding economic growth, inflation, and corporate profitability. Macro analyst Richard de Chazal details a variety of factors that are impacting companies’ ability to manage their inventories so far in 2024.
Read morePaving the Way for Non-U.S. Equity Outperformance
Non-U.S. equities are likely beneficiaries of falling interest rates in the U.S. and the dollar weakening rather than strengthening. Ken McAtamney, head of the global equities team, explains why these could potentially pave the way for a good year for global equities. This article is featured on William Blair Investment Management's Active Never Rests blog.
Read the articleThree Tailwinds for Earnings This Reporting Season
With corporate earnings season once again upon us, macro analyst Richard de Chazal highlights three areas that he believes helped to support earnings this past quarter: the dollar, pricing power, and productivity.
Read moreWill the Fed End Its QT in 2024?
Richard de Chazal examines another important aspect of the Fed—its balance sheet—and outlines what has motivated the discussion on ending its quantitative tightening (QT) so soon.
Read more