William Blair initiated research coverage of Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW $102.40), a leading operator of electronic marketplaces for rates, credit, equities, and money markets, with a focus on fixed income.
Analyst Jeff Schmitt forecasts the company to generate 15%-20% EPS growth in 2024 and 2025, from $2.25 in 2023 to an estimated $2.70 in 2024 and $3.10 in 2025. He projects revenue growth of 14%-16% in 2024 and 2025.
“Tradeweb is the largest player in rates and the second-largest player in credit,” Schmitt said. “We believe its dominant positions can be attributed to the breadth of its client network, which provides superior liquidity and is difficult to replicate, and how deeply embedded its platforms are into client workflows. In addition, its diverse products and innovative technology and protocols keep it at the industry forefront. It also has a strong balance sheet with no debt and benefits in market dislocations.”
Schmitt continued, “The company’s leadership positions put it at the intersection of two key secular tailwinds that are driving an expanding total addressable market: increasing electronification of fixed-income trading and increasing global debt pools and trading volumes. With migration to electronic markets still in the middle stages and industry trading volumes likely to continue expanding over time, we believe these secular trends should help the company maintain robust top-line growth over the longer term.”
William Blair is the premier global boutique with expertise in investment banking, investment management, and private wealth management. We provide advisory services, strategies, and solutions to meet our clients’ evolving needs. As an independent and employee-owned firm, together with our strategic partners, we operate in more than 20 offices worldwide.*
View our research coverage list
*Includes strategic partnerships with Allier Capital, BDA Partners, and Poalim Capital Markets.
William Blair or an affiliate does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. This report is not intended to provide personal investment advice. The opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments, or strategies to particular clients. The recipient of this report must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein.
William Blair or an affiliate is a market maker in the security of Tradeweb Markets Inc.
William Blair or an affiliate expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from Tradeweb Markets Inc. or an affiliate within the next three months.
Officers and employees of William Blair or its affiliates (other than research analysts) may have a financial interest in securities of Tradeweb Markets Inc.
Please contact us at +1 800 621 0687 or view disclosures on our coverage list.
Additional information is available upon request.
Current Ratings Distribution (as of 4/9/24)
Coverage Universe
Outperform (Buy): 72%
Market Perform (Hold): 28%
Underperform (Sell): 1%
Inv. Banking Relationships*
Outperform (Buy): 7%
Market Perform (Hold): 2%
Underperform (Sell): 0%
* Percentage of companies in each rating category that are investment banking clients, defined as companies for which William Blair has received compensation for investment banking services within the past 12 months.
The compensation of the research analyst is based on a variety of factors, including the quality and accuracy of research, client feedback, contributions to other firm departments, competitive factors, and firm profitability.
OTHER IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
Stock ratings and valuation methodologies: William Blair & Company, L.L.C. uses a three-point system to rate stocks. Individual ratings reflect the expected performance of the stock relative to the broader market (generally the S&P 500, unless otherwise indicated) over the next 12 months. The assessment of expected performance is a function of near-, intermediate-, and long-term company fundamentals, industry outlook, confidence in earnings estimates, valuation (and our valuation methodology), and other factors. Outperform (O) – stock expected to outperform the broader market over the next 12 months; Market Perform (M) – stock expected to perform approximately in line with the broader market over the next 12 months; Underperform (U) – stock expected to underperform the broader market over the next 12 months; not rated (NR) – the stock is not currently rated. The valuation methodologies include (but are not limited to) price-to-earnings multiple (P/E), relative P/E (compared with the relevant market), P/E-to-growth-rate (PEG) ratio, market capitalization/revenue multiple, enterprise value/EBITDA ratio, discounted cash flow, and others. Stock ratings and valuation methodologies should not be used or relied upon as investment advice. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
The ratings and valuation methodologies reflect the opinion of the individual analyst and are subject to change at any time.
Our salespeople, traders, and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary, short-term trade ideas, or trading strategies—to our clients, prospective clients, and our trading desks—that are contrary to opinions expressed in this research report. Certain outstanding research reports may contain discussions or investment opinions relating to securities, financial instruments and/or issuers that are no longer current. Always refer to the most recent report on a company or issuer. Our asset management and trading desks may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with recommendations or views expressed in this report. We will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell the securities referred to in this report. Our research is disseminated primarily electronically, and in some instances in printed form. Research is simultaneously available to all clients. This research report is for our clients only. No part of this material may be copied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of William Blair & Company, L.L.C.
This is not in any sense an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of a security or financial instrument. The factual statements herein have been taken from sources we believe to be reliable, but such statements are made without any representation as to accuracy or completeness or otherwise, except with respect to any disclosures relative to William Blair or its research analysts. Opinions expressed are our own unless otherwise stated and are subject to change without notice. Prices shown are approximate.
If the recipient received this research report pursuant to terms of service for, or a contract with William Blair for, the provision of research services for a separate fee, and in connection with the delivery of such research services we may be deemed to be acting as an investment adviser, then such investment adviser status relates, if at all, only to the recipient with whom we have contracted directly and does not extend beyond the delivery of this report (unless otherwise agreed specifically in writing). If such recipient uses these research services in connection with the sale or purchase of a security referred to herein, William Blair may act as principal for our own account or as riskless principal or agent for another party. William Blair is and continues to act solely as a broker-dealer in connection with the execution of any transactions, including transactions in any securities referred to herein.
This material is distributed in the United Kingdom and the European Economic Area (EEA) by William Blair International, Ltd., authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). William Blair International, Limited is a limited liability company registered in England and Wales with company number 03619027. This material is only directed and issued to persons regarded as Professional investors or equivalent in their home jurisdiction, or persons falling within articles 19 (5), 38, 47, and 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act of 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (all such persons being referred to as “relevant persons”). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not “relevant persons.”
“William Blair” and “R*Docs” are registered trademarks of William Blair & Company, L.L.C. Copyright 2024, William Blair & Company, L.L.C. All rights reserved.